Matthew Stretch, principal, Mining and Critical Minerals at Nedbank CIB

South Africa is widely recognised as one of the world’s most richly endowed mining jurisdictions, yet its share of global exploration expenditure has declined sharply over the past 2 decades. In 2004, the country accounted for roughly 5% of global mineral exploration spending. In recent years, that figure has fallen to below 1%. 

Matthew Stretch, principal, Mining and CriticalMinerals at Nedbank CIB

Matthew Stretch, principal, Mining and Critical
Minerals at Nedbank CIB

Exploration activity remains concentrated around existing mining operations. Most spending focuses on extending mine life. Companies use infill drilling, near-mine resource conversion, and brownfields work led by major miners. This activity sustains current operations. However, it does not generate the discoveries needed for the future of the mining industry.

Exploration forms the foundation of the mining life cycle. Geologists test ideas and identify new mineral deposits at this stage. When exploration declines, the effects are not immediately visible. Mines continue to operate. Projects under development also continue. Over time, the impact becomes clear. Without new discoveries today, future mines will not exist.

Against this backdrop, stakeholders have renewed focus on the Junior Mining Exploration Fund. This initiative addresses a key challenge. Junior exploration companies struggle to raise early-stage risk capital.

The impact extends beyond mining. As reserves decline, mine closures increase. This reduces jobs, fiscal revenues, and export earnings.

The fund supports the earliest stages of exploration. Geologists test concepts before investors commit serious capital. These early activities include mapping, geophysical surveys, sampling, and initial drilling. These steps determine whether a mineral deposit exists.

The Junior Mining Exploration Fund allocates between R5-million and R20-million per project. It does not finance mine development. Instead, it funds early exploration work. This work helps determine whether a project has enough geological potential for further investment.

In this way, the fund acts as a catalyst for discovery. It does not function as a mine development tool. It provides capital at the highest-risk stage of exploration. This allows junior companies to advance projects and attract partners or raise equity.

If the initiative succeeds, more projects will progress to advanced technical studies. South Africa’s main challenge is not mine financing. The bigger issue is that too few viable projects reach development stage.

The success of the fund depends on more than funding. Exploration companies must hold or apply for prospecting or mining rights. However, securing these rights in South Africa often takes time.

Administrative delays slow the process. The lack of a modern mining cadastre reduces transparency. It also discourages exploration. These structural issues limit the fund’s impact.

The fund can support companies within the system. However, it cannot replace broader regulatory reform. Faster permitting and improved certainty remain essential.

Financing challenges continue beyond early exploration. This applies in South Africa and other mining regions. Bridging the gap between discovery and development requires structured capital planning.

At early stages, catalytic or public funding plays a key role. Once discovery is confirmed, risk shifts to technical and execution factors. At this point, specialist investors and strategic partners enter. They often use royalty or streaming agreements.

Development finance institutions also support projects at this stage. They reduce risk by taking junior positions. This helps attract private capital.

Large mining companies often join through farm-in or earn-in agreements. These arrangements allow participation in exploration while supporting project growth.

Commercial banks, including institutions such as Nedbank CIB, typically enter later. They finance projects once reserves are proven. They also require feasibility studies that confirm technical and economic viability. At this stage, lenders assess asset quality, management strength, and regulatory stability.

This explains why junior exploration companies remain critical. They drive new mineral discoveries. This is especially important as global demand for energy transition minerals increases.

Critical minerals such as copper, lithium, and rare earths often sit outside traditional mining areas. These deposits require new exploration methods. They also require reinterpretation of geological data.

Despite challenges, South Africa retains strong potential. The country has rich mineral resources and strong technical expertise. Improvements in energy supply and logistics also support investment conditions.

Regulatory reform could further unlock exploration capital. Key changes include a transparent mining cadastre, clearer Mining Charter rules, faster approvals, and stable fiscal policy.

Investment decisions depend on confidence. Mining capital flows to regions with strong geology, clear regulation, and reliable project delivery.

Recent projects such as Ivanhoe’s Platreef development show that large-scale mining investment remains possible in South Africa.

Rebuilding the exploration pipeline will take time. However, the foundations already exist. The Junior Mining Exploration Fund supports early exploration. Regulatory improvements will strengthen investor confidence.

If these elements align, exploration capital will return. This will drive the next generation of mineral discoveries and future mines.

Supplied by Nedbank CIB